Summary

Dziedzic Stach. EPILOGUE

A brief precis is represented below of the research results of the phenomenon of the modern political, economic, and social situation of the Republic of Belarus. The book is addressed, first of all, to mass reader, being dedicated to modern problems and analyses recent happenings the aftereffect of which can have an impact on the destiny of the nations of Europe.

1. Analysis of modern situation in the Republic of Belarus is carried out from the viewpoint of consideration of ethnos as of an open system. It's demonstrated that in the current historic moment the Belarusan ethnos is experiencing the stage of homeostasis - final ethnogenesis stage that might lead either to disappearance of an ethnos, or to its death and emergence of a new one.

It is demonstrated that Belarus is not only a unique phenomenon, but rather an example of possible development of events in other, now successful, countries of Europe. The problems are observed to emerge currently: the number of active «strangers» - Arabs, Turks, Africans - that is representatives of the nations being in other ethnoses of Europe, thought, with an appropriate adjustment to the moment of the starting point of ethnos's development.

2. Brief analysis of historic past of Belarus has been accomplished. One of the key thesis of Soviet historians and modern official historians that the countryside population is being the carrier of the Belarusan national spirit has been questioned. It is demonstrated that the Belarusan ethnos emerged and developed as a typical city ethnos, and it is stated that it was the cities' inhabitants that were the main creators of the Belarus's noosphere. The ratio city/village belongs to the sphere of action of Hoedel's mathematical theorems of incompleteness: the significance of city and village cannot be «measured» in one system in principle.

The effect has been analyzed of the «First President of the Republic of Belarus» being a result of specifically passionate outburst in the dying ethnos with respect to the «denationalized nation» formed for the years if the Soviet power.

3. Since from the synergetic' viewpoint ethnos is an open system, certain synergetics irregularities are expected to be valid with its regard. As a result, at the ethnogenesis stage under consideration groups of people emerge differing from the main ethnos's mass (immanent national minority). For Belarus, the emergence of immanent minority is additionally initiated and catalyzed by the radiation exposure caused by the Chernobyl catastrophe. The present research justifies the existence of induced maximum on the distribution curve of mental abilities; a conclusion is made that the major difference of immanent minority from the rest ethnos's mass in Belarus is modification (mutation) of the thinking system caused modification of brainwork.

Mutations are a statistical process, yet it seems quite possible to build its correct mathematical model. The principle of building this kind of a model is suggested by the author. It is assumed that major part of changes will either have no serious consequences, or will lead to the system's simplification ( for man this means aggravation of mental abilities and physical condition).

For society taken as a statistical system a so-called condition curve can be drawn; similar curve can be drawn for ethnos. The main problem is what parameters have to be picked out as major ones to describe the ethnos's vital activity and viability. Ethnos and society being considered as statistical systems are strongly nonlinear, and the results this obtained cannot be a simple sum of external influences. The concept of immanent national minority (or simply national minority) is considered based not on the nationality, but on a broader scale - it embraces all ethnos's representatives that posses creative potential, able to express their will and creative comprehension of reality.

4. The Chernobyl catastrophe facilitates the division of the Belarusan ethnos into two parts: a bigger one degrading rapidly; and a significally smaller one filled with creative energy. This smaller part can also be divided into two parts depending on the way on the way of releasing the said energy. This smaller part can also parts of this minority are not as fundamental as the differences between the majority and minority.

This, for the Belarusan ethnos on its modern stage a problem of ethnocide arises formulated for the first time in the present work. Etnocide is a process of self-eliminating of ethnos in the process of ethnogenesis. In a number of features etnocide is similar to genocide. Basic difference is that under genocide a certain acting subject of law exists responsible for carrying it out. In case of ethnocide there is nobody to declare guilty except for the ethnos itself. Ethnocide is an evolution process, and this is the difference between etnocide - self-destruction of the ethnos - and suicide - self destruction of an individual.

Ethnos as an open system can develop in two directions: in either separates into several independent phases, or transforms into a homogenous system, that is disappears. On this basis the following conclusion is made.

Proceeding from general physical consideration of the theory of open systems, the methods of solving the problem have been formulated:

1) Reduction of the potential of phase with which the national minority contacts. It is necessary to do all possible to let the immanent national minority to realize itself as such.
2) Changing the boundary conditions. The boundary conditions in respect to the phenomenon under consideration are the relationships with the authorities and with the rest of the ethnos. The task is to change the attitude of the authorities to the most active part of the population.
3) Changing external force influence. This means changing external political conditions, and it is that very thing that can be observed presently.
4) Increase of potential inside the interaction of phases. This is the process of forming and consolidation of voluntary associations according to interests, lobbyists groups, ets.

5. One of the main conclusions having immediate practical significance for the world community is the following:

Today, Belarus is a testing area of a planetary scale where due to it's fate will be possible to study the long-term impact of radiation on man as on a biological creature and on the ethnos on the whole. In similar way, Belarus is a non-recognized, but a really existing testing area for studying scenarios of ethnoses dying because of technological, social and economic circumstances. Based on the research and formalization of main regularities of this kind of processes and comparison of the results of theoretical investigation and practical (experimental) results it is possible to build a determined models for the ethnoses experiencing the influence of similar factors, be it social or ethnic ones.


Äà ïàïÿðýäíÿãà ðàçüäçåëó.
Äà òûòóëüíàé ñòàðîíê³.
Äà «Áåëàðóñêàé ïàë³÷ê³».


Êðûí³öà:
Ñòàõ Äçåäç³÷. Ýï³ëîã.
Ìåíñê, 1997.